The IPL 2025 final was one of the more painful ways to lose a cricket match. Punjab Kings under Shreyas Iyer came within 6 runs of winning their first ever IPL title against RCB and walked away with nothing. It was a run fest that went to the last over and could have gone either way and Punjab Kings were on the wrong side of it by the smallest of margins.

They will be desperate to go one better in IPL 2026 which starts on March 28. But there is something in the history of this tournament that has quietly worked against every team in exactly this position and Punjab Kings are the next ones to find out whether it applies to them too.

The pattern that has claimed every IPL finalist for 18 years

In 18 seasons of IPL cricket no team that lost the final has ever won the trophy the following year. Not once. The list of victims is long and it covers every kind of franchise. CSK lost the 2008 final and reached the semi-final in 2009.

RCB lost the 2009 final and finished top of the table in 2010 but lost the semi-final. MI lost the 2010 final and went out in the qualifiers in 2011. RCB lost the 2011 final and failed to make the playoffs in 2012. CSK lost the 2012 final and reached the final again in 2013 but lost back to back.

Punjab Kings lost the 2014 final and finished last the following season which remains the most dramatic collapse in the history of this pattern. RCB lost the 2016 final after Kohli's 973 run season and finished last in 2017. DC lost the 2020 final and topped the table in 2021 but lost both qualifiers. K

KR lost the 2021 final and failed to qualify for the playoffs in 2022. RR lost the 2022 final and missed the 2023 playoffs by a single win. GT lost the 2023 final and collapsed to eighth in 2024. SRH lost the 2024 final and failed to replicate their success in 2025.

Eighteen seasons. Eighteen losing finalists. Not one of them won the title the following year.

Why it keeps happening

The reasons behind this are not hard to find. Teams that reach the final get studied intensely by every other franchise over the off-season. Their key players are scouted, their tactics are broken down and by the time the next season starts every team they face has a specific plan to counter what made them dangerous the previous year. The element of surprise that often carries a team to a final disappears completely because everyone has had months to prepare for it.

The mental side of it is just as significant. Losing a final by 6 runs the way PBKS did in 2025 is not something a dressing room moves past quickly. The what if mindset that comes from being that close and not quite getting over the line can stay with a group of players for a long time and affect how they approach the opening games of the following season when they need to be completely fresh and switched on.

And then there is the auction side of it. Teams that reach finals tend to have their best players retained at high prices which leaves less money to strengthen the areas that need work and can result in a squad that looks similar on paper but is marginally weaker in the spots that ended up mattering the most.

Also READ: IPL 2026: Complete and updated squads of all 10 franchises

What Punjab Kings need to do differently in IPL 2026

History says finishing as runners up and then winning it the following year has never been done in 18 seasons of IPL cricket. But the teams who came closest to breaking this were always the ones who genuinely reset rather than just turning up expecting the same formula to work again with one more push at the end.

Punjab Kings have already done something small but significant by changing their jersey from red and gold to red and blue. It sounds like a minor detail but it reflects a deliberate decision by Ricky Ponting and the management to approach this as a year zero campaign rather than a continuation of what happened in 2025.

That mindset has to start from the first day of pre-season camp and Ponting's job is to make sure nobody walks into the opening game on March 28 carrying the weight of last year's final. The best thing Punjab Kings can do with that 6 run defeat is stop talking about it and start treating this season as if it has nothing to do with the one before it.

The middle order is where the most important tactical decisions will be made. Punjab Kings fell 6 runs short in the 2025 final because when the pressure peaked in the closing overs the Indian batting core could not find the boundary consistently enough.

Punjab Kings' skipper Shreyas Iyer is a quality player and a thoughtful captain but he plays an anchor role and in a chase that needs boundaries at the death anchoring is not always what the situation demands.

Priyansh Arya and Nehal Wadhera are the two players who can change that dynamic this season because neither of them was a central figure in the 2025 final defeat. They do not carry the same personal weight from that game.

Giving them the freedom to play without constantly being reminded of what happened last May is one of the more important things Ponting can do for this team before a ball is bowled.

Arshdeep Singh is the other player that could determine how the season goes for Punjab Kings. He comes into IPL 2026 having just finished a full T20 World Cup campaign that ended on March 8 alongside a demanding 2025 IPL season.

The teams that have collapsed the year after a final have often done so because their main bowler was running low on energy by the time the competition reached its most critical phase.

Gujarat Titans went through exactly that situation with their strike bowlers in 2024 and it cost them badly. Punjab kings have Ben Dwarshuis and Xavier Bartlett in the squad and both of them are there partly to give Arshdeep the chance to breathe during the early games. If Punjab kings bowl him in every powerplay from the very first match the season will start to unravel around mid-April when the schedule gets tightest.

The last piece is Yuzvendra Chahal. Punjab Kings have tended to use him in a defensive way, bringing him on to slow scoring down in the middle overs and protect the run rate rather than actively hunting wickets.

To do something in 2026 that no team has managed in 18 seasons Punjab Kings need to use him differently. Chahal as an Impact Player substitute coming on specifically to attack, to take wickets in the powerplay or middle overs regardless of the match situation, is a different and more dangerous weapon than the one Punjab Kings have traditionally had.

March 31 is when PBKS find out if the jersey change and the reset mindset are real or just good intentions. Eighteen seasons of IPL history say that losing a final and winning the title the following year cannot be done. PBKS have 6 runs worth of motivation to prove that the nineteenth season is going to be different.